Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000698 0.000793 0.000893 0.001007 0.001132 0.001266 0.001418
2025-09-21 0.000543 0.000673 0.000820 0.000998 0.001205 0.001438 0.001718
2025-09-28 0.000452 0.000596 0.000767 0.000981 0.001242 0.001545 0.001921
2025-10-05 0.000405 0.000563 0.000757 0.001010 0.001326 0.001705 0.002188
2025-10-12 0.000364 0.000531 0.000743 0.001028 0.001394 0.001843 0.002427
2025-10-19 0.000321 0.000490 0.000712 0.001019 0.001424 0.001932 0.002607
2025-10-26 0.000282 0.000451 0.000680 0.001005 0.001444 0.002007 0.002768
2025-11-02 0.000257 0.000428 0.000667 0.001014 0.001493 0.002117 0.002975
2025-11-09 0.000233 0.000404 0.000650 0.001015 0.001530 0.002212 0.003164
2025-11-16 0.000202 0.000367 0.000610 0.000982 0.001517 0.002239 0.003261
2025-11-23 0.000178 0.000336 0.000578 0.000957 0.001512 0.002274 0.003369
2025-11-30 0.000161 0.000317 0.000561 0.000952 0.001536 0.002349 0.003531
2025-12-07 0.000147 0.000300 0.000548 0.000953 0.001567 0.002434 0.003711
2025-12-14 0.000132 0.000281 0.000529 0.000943 0.001583 0.002498 0.003862
2025-12-21 0.000117 0.000262 0.000508 0.000927 0.001588 0.002546 0.003991
2025-12-28 0.000112 0.000258 0.000513 0.000955 0.001658 0.002690 0.004260
2026-01-04 0.000106 0.000252 0.000513 0.000972 0.001714 0.002813 0.004500
2026-01-11 0.000096 0.000238 0.000497 0.000963 0.001728 0.002875 0.004653
2026-01-18 0.000086 0.000223 0.000479 0.000950 0.001734 0.002924 0.004786
2026-01-25 0.000080 0.000215 0.000475 0.000958 0.001775 0.003026 0.005000
2026-02-01 0.000074 0.000206 0.000466 0.000960 0.001803 0.003110 0.005188
2026-02-08 0.000065 0.000188 0.000440 0.000928 0.001777 0.003108 0.005247
2026-02-15 0.000057 0.000174 0.000419 0.000904 0.001760 0.003120 0.005327